Basketball models and news, with the tests shown.
Ghost Screen Analytics builds its own NBA models from public data, writes about what they find four times a week, and takes on custom analytics work. Every model is published with the bar it had to clear and the tests it failed.
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2026-27 Season Forecast
The season played out 1,000,000 times every morning: every team's record, playoff and title odds, the award races and every game's win probability.
Three Gates: rim protection
Blocks show one of three ways to protect the rim. This splits it into Redirect, Deter and Contest and grades every defender on each.
Load & Durability
Who is likely to miss games to injury, a body map for every player from the NBA's official injury reports, and what kind of load raises the risk.
College to NBA
Every 2026 draft pick and the 2027 draft board, scored from college numbers and draft slot, each with an 80% range.
Breakout Model
Every NBA player 25 or younger, projected for 2026-27 with an 80% range: who is about to get better.
Aging Curve
How NBA players age by position, and a 2026-27 projection for every player 26 or older: who is about to decline.
Lineup Chemistry
Do five players together beat the sum of their parts? Every lineup's expected and actual net rating, with an 80% range.
Franchise Index
Every NBA franchise since 1991, ranked on who built it and who won it, with team reports and a ranking you can rebuild yourself.